Glossary/Tax Year

Tax Year

The 12-month period (Jan 1 – Dec 31) for which you file a return. Disposition date determines the year.

The tax year for most individuals is the calendar year: January 1 through December 31. Gains and losses from prediction markets are assigned to the tax year in which the disposition occurs.

Key rule: disposition date, not purchase date

If you buy shares in November 2024 but the market settles in February 2025, the gain or loss goes on your 2025 return. The purchase date is only used for calculating the holding period (short-term vs. long-term) and the cost basis.

Year-end considerations

  • Open positions: Not taxable under most methods (except Section 1256 mark-to-market)
  • December settlements: Check the exact date — a December 31 settlement is 2024 income, January 1 is 2025
  • Loss harvesting: Some traders sell losing positions before year-end to lock in losses for the current tax year

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